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Inflation + Deflation
Inflation
- Sustained increase in APL
- Fall in purchasing power
- Disinflation = decrease rate of inflation
- Demand side AD shift right: lower tax, increase C + I; increase G, increase net X
- Supply side LRAS shift up but πππ constant: higher CoP (tax, wages, raw materials);
WPIDEC (imported cost-push inflation)
β πππππ Γ π€πππβπ‘
-
Measured by Consumer Price Index (CPI) =
-
Retail Price Index: main indicator until 2013 (βheadline rateβ) β broader measure
RPIX: underlying rate = RPI β mortgage interest costs
RPIY: change of indirect taxes
Limitations of measures:
o RPI/CPI doesnβt account to change of quality of goods
o Do not show regional variations in price
o CPI doesnβt include mortgage cost which are important part of inflation (UK
high level of home ownership)
o Does not represent spending patterns (current basket of goods underestimate
true rate as not change quick enough to match tastes)
o Does not show individual consumer preference
Problems of inflation:
o Lower standard of living
o Wages donβt rise as fast as inflation
o Savings eroded
o Purchasing power of wages + savings fail
-
β π€πππβπ‘
: 2% (Β±1%) target
o Price competitiveness of exports eroded (βBoP)
o Redistribution (lenders worse off borrows better off)
Inflating incomes push tax-payers into higher tax brackets, ie
...
Malign or benign?
2
...
How stable inflation
4
...
Size/type