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Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
INDUSTRY PROFILE
INTRODUCTION
Stock exchanges to some extent play an important role as indicators, reflecting the
performance of the country’s economic state of health
...
It is exposed to a high degree of volatility, prices fluctuate
within seconds and are determined by the demand and supply of stocks at a given time
...
The securities and exchange board of India (SEBI) is
the authorized body, which regulates the operations of stock exchanges, banks and other
financial institutions
...
It’s history dates back to
nearly 200 years ago India had an active stock market for about 150 years that played a
significant role in developing risk market as also promoting enterprise and supporting the
growth of industry
...
Though the trading list was broader in 1839, there were only half a
dozen brokers recognized by banks and merchants during 1840 and 1850
...
The number of brokers
increased to about 200 to 250
...
In 1887, they formally established in
Bombay, the “Native Share and Stock Brokers Association”
...
Thus, the Stock
Exchange at Bombay was consolidated
...
This
was followed by the formation of associations/exchanges in Ahmadabad (1894), in
Calcutta (1908), and in madras (1937)
...
Under this legislation, it is mandatory on the part of a
stock exchange to seek government recognition
...
They are located at:
1
...
Jaipur,
2
...
Kanpur,
3
...
Ludhiana,
4
...
Mangalore,
5
...
Mumbai (NSE),
6
...
Mumbai(Bombaystock exchange),
7
...
Mumbai(OTC
8
...
Delhi,
10
...
Mumbai (Inter-connected Stock
Exchange of India),
11
...
Patna,
12
...
Pune
23
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
page 2
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Classification of various financial services
a) Banking services:- The primary operations of banks include:
Keeping money safe while also allowing withdrawals when needed
...
Provide personal loans, commercial loans, and mortgage loans
Issuance of credit cards and processing of credit card transactions and billing
Issuance of debit cards for use as a substitute for checks
Allow financial transactions at branches like by using ATMs
...
Hedge fund management - Hedge funds often employ the services of "prime
brokerage" divisions at major investment banks to execute their trades
...
These
services are designed to cover a number of risks that are related to an individual's
life, property and many more
...
Reinsurance - Reinsurance is insurance sold to insurers themselves, to protect
them from catastrophic losses
...
Foreign
exchange services include:
Currency Exchange - where clients can purchase and sell foreign currency
banknotes
...
Foreign Currency Banking - banking transactions are done in foreign currency
Markets
In tune with the global stock markets that began to recover from the second half
of 2003
...
India’s two leading indices,
the most popular BSE Sensex, and the one most used by the markets the National Stock
Exchanges’ S&P CNX Nifty rose to record levels
...
Market Structure
Indian securities market is fairly large as compared to several other emerging
markets
...
With the abolition of the deferral products and introduction of uniform T+2
settlement cycle, the liquidity in these exchanges flowed to the national level system
consisting of NSE and BSE
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 4
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
COMPANY PROFILE
2
...
Background and inception of the Company
Sharekhan ltd, Founded in 1922, SSKI (Shripal Sevantilal Kantilal
Ishwarlal) is one of India’s Oldest Brokerage Houses having eight decades of experience
into Institutional Broking, Investment Banking and Retail Broking
...
Sharekhan ltd, comes under retail arm of SSKI (Shripal Sevantilal Kantilal
Ishwarlal) Investors Services Pvt
...
Sharekhan ltd, is an 90 years old company which started online trading portal in
the year 2000 and is the first company who started online in India
...
Right now Sharekhan Ltd has 1437 share shops across 450 cities all over India serving
around 10,00,000 customers and growing with around 3000 employees
...
It also has an
office in Dubai which has been a new edition to its chain
...
S
...
SSKI Corporate Finance
I dream Productions
Palm spring estates Pvt Ltd
...
I dream Production UK Pvt Ltd
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 5
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Archfund Properties Pvt Ltd
...
2
...
The company offers a complete range of pre
trade and post trade service on the BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange) and the NSE (National
Stock exchange)
...
Investment Advisory Service
Facilitation Services to Retail Investors, Corporate
Depository Services
2
...
The
Company Vision is:
To be the top most company for providing investment advisory and financial
planning services in India
...
MISSION:
To educate and empower the individual investor to make better investment
decisions through quality advice and superior service
...
Sharekhan has one among the largest network of outlets of the either trading firms
with 180 outlets
...
Milestones of SSKI
1922: The SSKI became the first member in the BSE as institutional broker
...
2000: It has started its retail business with the brand name ‘Sharekhan’
...
2002: The advanced technology in the online business “Speed Trade plus was
launched on October 28th for derivative trading
...
2
...
Online BSE and NSE executions (through BOLT and NEAT terminals)
Free access to investment advice from Sharekhan’s research team
...
Live market information
Derivates trading
...
Internet based online trading-speed trading
...
Derivatives (Futures and Options)
The company also facilitates the trading system for trading in secondary market
under future and options segment of NSE and BSE
...
Depositor Services
Sharekhan is a Depository participant of National Securities Depository
and Central Depository and securities Limited
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 8
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Margin Financing
In the present rolling settlement scenario, Sharekhan understand investor need for
additional capital availability for daily purchaser shares, it offers unique facility avail
finance, for purchasing shares at very competitive interest rates
...
Sharekhan is a distribution house for all mutual funds
...
Stock lending and Borrowing
One can place an order of shares with Sharekhan
...
These would be sent out the borrows, these earnings
fees for all investor’s idle shares
...
The research team’s inputs will be
available as daily trading calls, quarterly investment picks and long term investment
picks, based on the fundamentals of particular company and the industry as whole
...
The virtual world that Sharekhan offers online trading services
through
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 9
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Commodity trading
Sharekhan is founder member of two commodity exchanges, the MCX and
NCDEX and offers trading facility for the following commodities and both these
exchanges:
Bullion: Gold and Silver
Oil and Seed: Castor, Soya Rapeseed/Mustard Oil Crude Palm Oil, RBD
palmolein
Soft Commodities: Cotton
Species and Plantation: Pepper and Rubber
...
com in February 2000
...
2
...
It is operating in 28 states across
325 cities in India and having more than 1290 share shops all over country
...
Recently Sharekhan went
one step ahead and opened its new office in Dubai
...
By this Sharekhan has stepped into the way of becoming a
global company from a national one
...
f OWNERSHIP PATTERN
The shareholders of SSKI Investor Pvt Ltd are MR
...
Shreyas
Morkhia, foreign private equity funds and the key employees of the company
...
Shripal Morkhia, who as on march 31, 2005, along with
his family owns 55
...
e
...
5% is HSBC CRLYE and INTEL PACIFIC
...
Ketan Parekh, Chief Technology
Officer at Sharekhan
...
Tarun P
...
Shankar Vailaya – Director Operatins
Mr
...
Ketan Parekh – Chief Technology Officer
2
...
Following are some of the companies that are
its competitors:
Karvy Stock Broking
ICICI Direct
India Infoline
Kotak Securities
Indiabulls
HDFC Securities
Motilal Oswal Securities
UTI Securities
Anand Rathi Securities
Reliance Money
Angel Broking
Religare Securities
2
...
The
book and feel of the offices across India projects an consistent branch image for the
company
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 11
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
2
...
Pioneers of online trading in India amongst the top 3 online trading websites from
India
...
Winners of “Best Financial Website” award
India’s most preferred brokers within 5 years
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 12
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
2
...
k FUTURE GROWTH AND PROSPECTUS
2,00,000 plus retail customers being serviced through centralized call
centers/web solutions
...
205 independent investment managers/ franchisee servicing 50,000 highly valued
clients
...
Mc KENSY’S 7S FRAMEWORK
While some models of organizational effectiveness go in and out of fashion, one
that has persisted is the McKinsey 7S framework
...
The basic premise of the model is that there are
seven internal aspects of an organization that need to be aligned if it is to be successful
...
Examine the likely effects of future changes within a company
...
Determine how best to implement a proposed strategy
...
The alignment issues apply, regardless of how one decides to define the scope of
the areas he/she studies
...
“Soft” elements, on the other hand, can be more difficult to describe, and are less
tangible and more influenced by culture
...
3
...
e
...
Market Strategy also takes a longer-term
view on stocks i
...
three to six months
...
3
...
The structure of the company often dictates the way it operates and performs
traditionally, the businesses have been structured in a hierarchical way with several
divisions and departments, each responsible for a specific task such as human resources
management, production or marketing
...
Sharekhan Ltd is one of the premier stock brokers in India
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 16
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Organization structure
CEO
Tarun Shah
Online & Technology
Jaideep A
...
Sr
...
Sr
...
Saravanan
Vice President
Level 3
PDG
IT
Accounts
Operations
Key Accounts
PortfolioManager
Ketan P
...
CFO
Level 3
Amit A
...
AVP
Level4
Customer Service & DNT
Geeta R
...
Manager
Level 5A
Compliance
Anand B
...
Manager
Level 5B
Distribution
Shyam Jajoo
AVP
Level4
Content
Murtuza
Sr
...
Kalyanraman
AVP
Level4
Business Development
Sameer Shah
AVP
Level 4
Regional Managers /
Pomesh M
...
Market Strategist
Level 3
Administration
Ramachandran G
Senior Manager
Level 5B
Commodities
Derivatives
Vacant
PMS
Amit Adesara
Reseacrh Analyst
Level 5A
(Jaideep Arrora)
Head -HNI Elite Guild
Marketing
Sandeep Jain
Bhupendra S
...
Manager
Level 5A
Web Dealing
Anil B / RRaul
Sr
...
Finance department
Administration department
Marketing department
Surveillance department
Legal department
Systems department
3
...
Management information system is identifying the problems in between the departments
and managing the problem with interrelated processes
...
The company is following high
tech system to measure the quality
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 17
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
The various activities of system department include
...
Maintenance of multex software, providing online trading with NSE and BSE
...
This software’s are developed in house by Sharekhan
...
3
...
But the friendly
approached should not be miss-confused with the lack of professionalism
...
The
firm has open and friendly environment through which it avoids grapevine and informal
communication
...
Transparency in the working of the company also
adds to the positive operating approach of the company
...
3
...
A philosophy that balances personal
lifestyles, perspective and needs is an important part of our culture
...
The talent and passion of their employees is critical to their success
...
They committed to hire, develop, reward, motivate and retain the best people in the
industry and always looking out for fresh talent
...
6 Skills
The actual skills and competencies of the employees working for the company
...
Placing
Super- Ordinate goals in the middle of the model emphasizes that these values are central
to the development of all the other critical elements
...
The original vision of the company was formed from the values of
the creators
...
Skills variable refers to the capabilities of the staff within the organization as a
whole
...
3
...
Super-ordinate goals are the fundamental ideas around which a
business is built
...
All members of the organization share some common fundamental ideas or
guiding concepts around which the business is built
...
These values and common goals keep the
employees working towards a common destination as a coherent team and are important
to keep the team spirit alive
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 19
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Sharekhan Shared Values
Integrity
Sharehan is honest and forthright in their dealings with employees, members
...
Commitment
to excellence: Company is committed to achieve highest level of performance in all
aspects of business activities
...
Diversity
Company encourages diversity of backgrounds and experiences in their
workforce as well as fair treatment based on qualifications and performance
...
They support one another
They believe in one another
...
They push for professional excellence
...
1 Strengths
It is a pioneer in online trading with a turnover of Rs
...
SSKI the parent company of Sharekhan has more than eight decades of trust and
credibility in the Indian Stock Market
...
Sharekhan provides multi-channel access to all its customers through a strong online
presence with www
...
com, 1290 share shops in 640 cities and a call-center
based Dial-n-Trade facility
...
Which
constantly track the pulse of the market and provide timely investment advice free of
cost to its clients which has a strike rate of 70-80%
...
2 Weakness
Localized presence due to insufficient investments for country wide expansion
...
Lesser emphasis on customer retention
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 21
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
4
...
It can easily tap the retail investors with small saving through promotional channels
like print media, electronic media, etc
...
Abolition of long term capital gain tax on shares and reduction in short term capital
gain is making stock market as hot destination for investment among small investors
...
4
...
Lack of sufficient branch-offices for speedy delivery of services
...
More and more players are venturing into this domain which can further reduce the
earnings of Sharekhan
...
: Income Statement (in Crores)
Year
2011-12
2010-11
2009-10
30
...
23
21
...
90
2
...
6
Selling Expenses
2
...
18
0
...
50
1
...
92
Cost of Sales
3
...
45
2
...
20
29
...
58
Other Recurring Income
31
...
81
19
...
00
30
...
6
Tax Charges
2
...
38
1
...
5
27
...
47
Reported Net profit
28
...
31
17
...
19
0
...
08
Retained Earning
0
...
14
0
...
Balance Sheet (Crores)
Year
2011-12
2010-11
200910
Sources of Fund
Owners fund
Equity Share Capital
32
...
62
31
...
32
25
...
7
Secured Loans
2
...
91
1
...
87
59
...
89
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 23
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Uses of Fund
Fixed Assets
Gross Block
6
...
96
4
...
50
4
...
76
Net Block
1
...
92
0
...
25
45
...
31
Current assets, loans & Advances
22
...
12
16
...
80
6
...
03
0
0
0
66
...
02
53
...
02
40
...
02
Market value of quoted investments
0
...
16
0
...
5
3
...
5
316
...
2
316
...
25/7
...
83:1
12
...
03 = 2
...
87/4
...
19:1
Current ratio defines the ability of the firm to meet current liabilities
...
In the year 2011-12 the current
ratio was 1
...
19:1 and in the current year
current ratio was 1
...
It is always beneficial to have a considerably high current ratio
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 24
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Net Profit Ratio
2011-12
2010-11
2009-10
28
...
65=7
...
31/3
...
48
17
...
64 = 6
...
Thus it depends on the total sales of the company
...
8 in 2011-12, to 7
...
8
...
It shows
marginally shows of better financial position
...
87/32
...
97
59
...
62 = 1
...
89/31
...
13
The Debt Equity Ratio of the Company has gone up from 1
...
87 in year
2010-11 to 1
...
In theory it is not acceptable, because it indicates the firm
is incurring more long term debts
...
20/3
...
64
29
...
45 = 8
...
58/2
...
03
OP is the ratio of profit deducting tax to the total sales of the company
...
It has increased to 9
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 25
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Return on Total Equity
2011-12
2010-11
2009-10
28
...
40=0
...
31/31
...
86
17
...
62 = 0
...
It indicates the actual profit made by the
company excludes the tax which is contributed by the shareholders equity
...
Return on total equity has been
increasing on a regular basis even since the year 2009-10, 2010-11 and 2011-12
...
88
...
20/32
...
64%
29
...
62X100 =93
...
58/31
...
76%
Every company’s profitability depends on the nature it achieves on the total investment it
makes
...
The company’s return on investment has increased drastically form
just more 58
...
26% in 2011 and 93
...
64% in 2012 the company
undoubtedly the avenue for further growth
...
LEARNING EXPERIENCE
Before my summer internship programme, I had very little knowledge about the stock
market and its fundamentals
...
I have gained fair bit of
information about the company – the products, schemes and policies, and also about its
competitors
...
He also taught me how to do
telling calling
...
I was
assigned target to sell demat accounts for 10 days
...
While carrying out the initial part of my project, I met with number of people
...
The employees there helped me in
understanding the impact of sensex and nifty on stock prices, their significance and
various fundamentals and technical aspects that effect stock prices in the short and long
run
...
Working in Sharekhan Ltd was both a pleasure and
challenge because of the prevailing work atmosphere that believes in the maximum work
with joy
...
The
very fact that all the employees are taken special care which automatically motivates me
to constantly learn and also boosts my morale
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 27
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
PART-B
A
...
While the procedure was quite capable
of providing perfectly accurate answers to questions such as, “Given a population of
securities, what single combination would have had the lowest volatility in monthly
return over the preceding period?” the computing power of the times limited its
application
...
In essence,
Sharpe’s model replaced the exact, but cumbersome, Markowitz formula for portfolio
volatility with a simplified approximation that assumed all the interrelationships among
security returns could be attributed to the fact that they all respond differentially to the
pull of the single index
...
The investor always likes to purchase a combination of stocks that
provides the highest return and has lowest risk
...
Traditionally analysts paid more attention to the return aspect of the
stocks
...
Individual securities have risk-return characteristics of their own
...
Portfolio analysis considers the determination of
future risk and return in holding various blends of individual securities
...
The simple fact that securities carry differing degrees of expected risk
leads most investors to the notion of holding more than one security at a time, in an
attempt to spread risks by not putting all their eggs into one basket
...
Most
investors hope that if they hold several assets, even if one goes bad, the other will provide
some protection from an extreme loss
...
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
A portfolio consists of any combination of assets, the outcome of which cannot be
defined with certainty
...
A portfolio is a collection of securities
...
Two basic principles of finance form the basis for portfolio theory
...
A rupee today is worth more than a rupee
tomorrow or a year later, and as parting with money involves the loss of present
consumption, it has to be rewarded by a return commensurate with time of waiting
...
Due to risk
aversion of investors, they feel risk is inconvenient and has to be rewarded by a return
...
Objectives of a Portfolio:
The objective of a portfolio theory is two folded1
...
To optimize return for a given level or risk
...
It is useful here to clarify what an efficient portfolio
...
The same return at a lower risk or
2
...
A higher return and a lower risk
...
Investors prefer higher rate of return to a lower rate of return
...
Investors are risk averse, i
...
, not willing to take risk
...
However this was done on intuition
without really understanding the magnitude of risk reduction
...
This study came to be known as Portfolio Theory
...
Harry M
...
William F
...
It is a dynamic and flexible concept and involves continuous and
systematic analysis, judgment and operations
...
Portfolio Management is the
management of large investible funds with a view to maximizing return and minimizing
risk
...
It is essentially a
systematic method of managing one’s investment efficiently
...
A proper investment decision-making of what to buy and sell
...
Proper money management in terms of investment in a basket of assets so as to satisfy
the asset preferences of investors
...
Reduce the risk and increase returns
...
A portfolio is a basket of investments or assets held by an individual or a corporate body
...
Five phases can be identified in the portfolio management
process1
...
2
...
3
...
4
...
5
...
Each phase is an integral part of the whole process and the success of portfolio
management depends upon the efficiency in carrying out each of these phases
...
Security Analysis:
Security analysis is the initial phase of the portfolio management process
...
A basic
strategy in securities investment is to buy under priced securities and sell overpriced
securities
...
This is what security analysis is all about
...
Fundamental Analysis provides and analytical framework for rational
investment decision-making
...
Fundamental
analysis works out intrinsic value of a security based on its fundamentals; then compares
this intrinsic value with the current market price
...
Technical Analysis believes that share price movements are systematic and
exhibit certain consistent patterns
...
Technical analysis ignores the fundamental of shares
...
Portfolio Analysis:
A portfolio is a group of securities held together as investment
...
The return and risk of each portfolio has to be
calculated mathematically and expressed quantitatively
...
3
...
The main goal of
portfolio selection is to generate a portfolio that provides the highest return and the lowest
risk
...
The portfolio
selection problem is the process of delineating the efficient portfolios and then selection
the best portfolio from the set
...
4
...
The investor has to revise his portfolio in the light
of the developments in the market
...
The mix of securities and
their proportion changes as a result of the revision
...
Portfolio revision has to be done scientifically and objectively so as to ensure the
optimality of the revised portfolio
...
5
...
This involves
quantitative measurement of actual return realized and the risk borne by the portfolio over
the period of investment
...
Portfolio evaluation provides a
mechanism for identifying weaknesses in the investment process and for improving these
deficit areas
...
Role of Portfolio Management:
Portfolio management is now a familiar term and is widely practiced in India
...
This reform process has made the Indian capital markets active
...
Large institutional investors with their diversified
portfolios dominate the markets
...
With this development, investment in securities has gained
considerable momentum
...
Professional portfolio management, backed by competent
research, began to be practiced by mutual funds, investment consultants and big brokers
...
Risk is
inherent in any investment
...
While some
securities are almost risk less like Government securities others are more risky
...
The uncertainty associated
with the returns from an investment introduces risk into an investment
...
An investment whose returns are fairly stable is considered as low-risk investment,
whereas an investment whose returns fluctuate significantly is considered to be a highrisk instrument
...
Wrong decision of what to invest in
...
Wrong timings of investments
...
Nature of the instruments invested in
...
Creditworthiness of the issuer
...
Maturity period or the length of investment
...
Amount of investment
...
The difference between purchase price and
sale price is capital appreciation
...
Higher the risk taken, the higher will be the risk
...
The expected return is the uncertain future return that an investor expects to get from his
investment
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 34
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Return on a typical investment consists of two components:
Income or current yield – capital gain/capital losses yield
...
Capital gain/loss is the
charge in the price of asset-the difference between purchase price and the price at which
the asset can be or is sold
...
In symbols
=
∑ Ri
No
...
In other words Beta describes the relationship
between a stock’s return and the market index return
...
The Beta of an asset is the measure of variability of that asset relative to
the variability of the market as a whole
...
The larger the Beta the more volatile is the security
...
If Beta is greater than 1,
the scrip risk is more than the market risk and if the Beta is less than 1, then the scrip risk
is less than the market risk
...
Beta can also be negative, implying that the stock returns move in the
direction opposite to that of the market returns
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 35
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Calculation of Beta:
1) Calculate Market index return = Closing index – Opening index
Opening index
2) Calculate security return = Closing Price – Closing Price
Opening Price
3) Calculate Beta: n∑xy-∑x∑y
n∑x2-(∑x)2
Where, n=number of years
∑x=sensex (market index)
∑y=security return
Systematic Risk:
Systematic risk is the variability in the security returns caused by changes in the economy
or market
...
The systematic risk of
a security can be measured by relating that security’s variability with the variability in the
stock market index
...
Systematic risk is
further sub-divided into interest rate risk, market risk and purchasing power risk
...
Interest rate risk: The variation in bond prices caused due to the variations in the
interest rates is known as interest rate risk
...
ii
...
In other words, the variation in
returns caused by the volatility of the stock market is referred to as market risk
...
Purchasing power risk: Purchasing power risk refers to the variation in investor
returns caused by inflation
Calculation of Systematic Risk= βi2*variance of market
Unsystematic Risk:
Unsystematic risk is the risk that is specific or unique to a company
...
The investor does not seek to measure
the unsystematic risk of a security as it can be reduced through diversification
...
The unsystematic or unique risk affecting specific securities
arises from two sources:
i
...
The financing pattern adopted by the company
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 37
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
TITLE OF THE PROJECT
“A STUDY ON OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION USING SHARPE
SINGLE INDEX METHOD”
...
The investor has to find good
securities among different alternatives
...
Many investor invest in securities
by their emotional forces
...
The study is focused on Risk and Return analysis and Optimal Portfolio Construction
of various Sectors using Single Index Model as formulated by W
...
Sharpe
...
Basically there are 2
methods of portfolio construction namely Markowits Model and Sharpe Index Model
...
Sharpe Index is a simplifactions of the above process which aims at identification of
selected securities to be included in the portfolio from among several
...
Quantification of necessary ingredients required for single index model namely
residual variance and beta co-efficent and market variance
...
F
...
Identification of percentage wise investment to be made in each security
...
This study now as taken in to consideration equity shares belonging to
- Banking, Auto, Health care, Infrastructure and IT industries covering the following
companies namely (Axis bank, State Bank of India, YES bank, Bajaj auto, Marut Suzuki,
MRF,Cipla ltd, Glenmark, Ranbaxy, ABB, L&T, Reliance infra, Tech Mahindra, TCS
and Wipro) - Over a period of 2010,2011 & 2012 (3 years)
...
METHODOLOGY
Data Collection Method:
Primary Data:
Primary
data
is
the
information
collected
through
visiting
the
company,interacting with the manager about the information
...
Secondary Data:
Secondary data is the information that is already collected and analyzed for other
purpose
...
For the purpose of this study secondary data was considered more important
and was collected through www
...
com
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 39
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Sampling:
I have mainly concentrated on convenience sampling
...
So selected companies are as follows:
Sl
...
As the study is depending on the information from the different sources, the
reliability of study is depending on the information
...
Analysis of data limited to 3 years only
...
DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION:
a) Optimum portfolio preparation
Finding expected return of each stock
...
Systematic and unsystematic risk of each security
...
SIMPLE SHARPE PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION
The construction of an optimal portfolio is simplified if a single number measures the
desirability of including a stock in the optimal portfolio
...
If stocks are ranked by excess return to
beta (from highest to lowest), the ranking represents the desirability of any stock’s
inclusion in a portfolio
...
Step – 1 Ranking Securities:
Excess return to beta ratio = (Ri – Rf) / βi
Ri = Expected return on stock i
Rf = Return on a riskless asset
"i = Expected change in the rate of return on stock i associated with a 1% change in the
market return
Current Risk Free Rate – 7
...
Step – 3 Arriving at the Optimal Portfolio:
Once we know which securities are to be included in the optimum portfolio, we must
calculate the percent invested in each security
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 42
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
ANALYSIS:
Now this companies which I have selected, are they really going to offer the investor a
good return
...
So once it found than the
investor must evaluate such securities by Sharpe optimum portfolio model, which will
say what should be the size of your Portfolio as well as weight of investment for
particular securities
...
Calculation of Sensex(market) returns for the year 2012
Date
Opening price of Market
Closing price of Market
Return on market
02/01/2012
15534
...
55
10
...
64
17752
...
33
01/03/2012
17714
...
2
-1
...
96
17318
...
63
02/05/2012
17370
...
53
-6
...
48
17429
...
47
02/07/2012
17438
...
18
-1
...
44
17380
...
79
03/09/2012
17465
...
74
7
...
64
18505
...
48
01/11/2012
18487
...
9
4
...
83
19426
...
43
∑Ri=23
...
1 Table shows the Bajaj Autos returns, beta (β) and unsystematic risk:
Closing
Price of
Stock
Return
on
Market
Return
on
Stock
X*Y
X2
(R-AR)2
Market
(R-AR)2
Stock
02/01/2012
Openi
ng
Price
of
Stock
1595
1600
...
68
0
...
984
114
...
657
4
...
95
3
...
046
36
...
126
1
...
42
01/03/2012
1820
1677
...
75
-7
...
68
3
...
5094
105
...
1
-0
...
674
2
...
4067
6
...
839
02/05/2012
1623
1513
-6
...
778
44
...
011
73
...
661
01/06/2012
1505
1572
7
...
4518
33
...
898
30
...
897
02/07/2012
1572
...
35
-1
...
8606
-2
...
3484
9
...
3809
01/08/2012
1598
1615
...
79
1
...
861
0
...
28304
1
...
5
7
...
117
97
...
158
30
...
2
01/10/2012
1837
1813
...
48
-1
...
865
2
...
6268
13
...
8
1930
...
60
6
...
48
21
...
21057
17
...
1
2131
0
...
696
4
...
1881
2
...
532
∑Ri=23
...
7
∑X2=309
...
1
σ2=43
...
73,
Market(Sensex) is 23
...
7969, Systematic Risk is 14
...
75 are calculated below based on the above information
...
95 – 1595
...
37
1595
...
55 – 15534
...
68
15534
...
73 = 2
...
2) – (23
...
73) = 0
...
3) – (23
...
7967)2 * 22
...
00
Unsystematic risk: total variance of security return-systematic risk
2012 = 43
...
00 = 29
...
1 Graph Showing 2012 of Bajaj Autos Returns:
Bajaj Auto
100%
50%
0%
-50%
-100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
BAJAJ AUTO (y) 0
...
05 -7
...
67 -6
...
452 1
...
089 13
...
25 6
...
7
SENSEX(x)
10
...
336 -1
...
64 -6
...
477 -1
...
79 7
...
49 4
...
434
INTERPRETATION: From the above graph it can be interpreted that the monthly
returns of a Bajaj autos company selected against the monthly return of sensex
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 45
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
2
...
55
10
...
694
295
...
03
76
...
545
01/02/2012
1195
1256
...
33
5
...
097
11
...
99489
0
...
1
-1
...
3959
-11
...
0707
13
...
87807
02/04/2012
1354
1369
...
63
1
...
749
0
...
55803
9
...
7
1106
...
63
-19
...
29
44
...
2264
553
...
5
1169
...
47
4
...
658
55
...
8395
0
...
15
1133
...
16
-3
...
1601
1
...
51341
60
...
4
1138
...
79
0
...
4995
0
...
28304
12
...
9
7
...
62
138
...
158
30
...
315
01/10/2012
1355
...
25
-1
...
9572
-8
...
2101
11
...
13271
01/11/2012
1440
1473
...
60
2
...
737
21
...
21057
3
...
95
0
...
469
0
...
1881
2
...
8258
∑Ri=23
...
24
∑XY=609
...
3
σm2= 22
...
57
Analysis: From the above table, it can be inferred that Maruti Suzuki’s returns is 50
...
08 and Beta is 1
...
84, Un systematic Risk
is 35
...
Calculations as under:
Return: = Ri = P1-Po
Po
Here:P1 = Closing Price, P0 = Opening Price
Stock
02-01-2012 = 1187
...
00*100 = 27
...
00
Sensex
17193
...
67*100 = 10
...
67
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 46
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Average return 2012 = 50
...
18
12
Beta (β): = n∑xy-∑x∑y
n∑x2-(∑x)2
2012 = (12) (609
...
08) (-7
...
93
(12) (309
...
08)2
Systematic risk: βi2*variance of market
2012 = (1
...
07 = 82
...
57 – 82
...
72
2
...
68
3
...
75-0
...
637
...
16 0
...
427-1
...
608
0
...
69
5
...
396
1
...
34
...
580
...
62
5
...
330
...
It is evident from the graph that the overall trend of business has
exbhited by sensex closely resembles the returns exbhited by company expecting minor
fluctuations but the prices are low volatility
...
3 Table shows the MRF’ s returns, beta (β) and unsystematic risk:
Date
Opening
Price of
Stock
Return
on
Market
Return
on
Stock
X*Y
X2
(R-AR)2
Market
(R-AR)2
Stock
6964
...
1
02/01/2012
10
...
5471
144
...
03
76
...
178
01/02/2012
7900
9834
...
33
24
...
6921
11
...
99489
359
...
95
9936
...
75
0
...
1209
3
...
5094
29
...
15
11459
...
63
14
...
4599
0
...
55803
86
...
3
-6
...
7556
31
...
011
73
...
92
01/06/2012
10760
10033
...
47
-6
...
501
55
...
8395
151
...
55
-1
...
8028
5
...
3484
9
...
89
01/08/2012
9600
10067
...
79
4
...
85184
0
...
28304
0
...
2
10273
...
42
1
...
68889
55
...
2902
17
...
5
10169
...
48
-1
...
03448
2
...
6268
47
...
2
10915
...
60
7
...
5647
21
...
21057
3
...
8
0
...
4936
7
...
1881
2
...
98
∑Ri=23
...
43
∑XY=261
...
31
σm2=22
...
04
Analysis: From the above table, it can be inferred that MRF’s returns is 66
...
08 and Beta is 0
...
59, Un systematic Risk is
87
...
Calculations as under:
Return: = Ri = P1-Po
Po
Here: P1 = Closing Price, P0 = Opening Price
Stock
02-01-2012 = 7908
...
60*100 = 13
...
60
Sensex
17193
...
67*100 = 10
...
67
Average return 2012 = 66
...
53
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 48
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
12
Beta (β): = n∑xy-∑x∑y
n∑x2-(∑x)2
2012 = (12) (261
...
08) (66
...
50
(12) (309
...
08)2
Systematic risk: βi2*variance of market
2012 = (0
...
08 = 5
...
04 – 5
...
45
2
...
7 3
...
8 -0
...
6 7
...
2 0
...
43 -1
...
61 0
...
5 24
...
07 14
...
8 -6
...
8 4
...
3 -1
...
5 17
...
It is evident
from the graph that the overall trend of business has exbhited by sensex closely resembles
the returns exbhited by company expecting major fluctuations but the prices are high
volatility
...
4 Table shows the Axis Bank’ s returns, beta (β) and unsystematic risk:
02/01/2012
812
Closing
Price
of
Stock
1074
...
05
3
...
68808
32
...
126
1
...
901
01/03/2012
1175
1145
...
75
-2
...
33984
3
...
5094
54
...
6
-0
...
438
2
...
4067
6
...
566
02/05/2012
1107
971
...
63
-12
...
173
44
...
2264
293
...
8
7
...
72165
35
...
898
30
...
0327
02/07/2012
1021
1042
...
16
2
...
468
1
...
51341
7
...
9
0
...
4073
-3
...
6248
1
...
673
03/09/2012
1001
1136
...
42
13
...
718
55
...
2902
74
...
65
-1
...
19454
-6
...
2101
11
...
5013
01/11/2012
1184
1316
...
60
11
...
5139
21
...
21057
39
...
5
0
...
62872
1
...
1881
2
...
6227
∑Ri=58
...
758
∑X2=309
...
1
Date
Opening
Price of
Stock
Return
on
Market
10
...
2906
∑Ri=23
...
818
114
...
657
750
...
8
Analysis: From the above table, it can be inferred that Axis Bank’s returns is 58
...
08 and Beta is 1
...
89, Un systematic Risk
is 28
...
Calculations as under:
Return: = Ri = P1-Po
Po
Here: P1 = Closing Price, P0 = Opening Price
Stock
02-01-2012 = 1074
...
00*100 = 32
...
00
Sensex
17193
...
67*100 = 10
...
67
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 50
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Average return 2012 = 58
...
90
12
Beta (β): = n∑xy-∑x∑y
n∑x2-(∑x)2
2012 = (12) (641
...
08) (58
...
99
(12) (309
...
08)2
Systematic risk: βi2*variance of market
2012 = (1
...
08 = 87
...
80 – 87
...
90
2
...
683
...
75 -0
...
63 7
...
16 0
...
427 -1
...
6080
...
299
...
48 -3
...
2 4
...
125 -4
...
564
...
183
...
It is
evident from the graph that the overall trend of business has exbhited by sensex closely
resembles the returns exbhited by company expecting minor fluctuations but the prices
are low volatility
...
5 Table shows the State Bank of India’s returns, beta (β) and unsystematicrisk:
02/01/2012
1625
...
05
01/02/2012
2054
2243
...
33
9
...
7575
11
...
99489
30
...
75
-6
...
7559
3
...
5094
97
...
5
2137
...
63
1
...
2608
0
...
55803
3
...
5
2055
...
63
-3
...
6231
44
...
2264
52
...
15
7
...
71145
35
...
898
30
...
9947
02/07/2012
2165
2005
...
16
-7
...
57096
1
...
51341
123
...
85
1845
0
...
3844
-6
...
6248
1
...
375
03/09/2012
1850
...
9
7
...
9349
155
...
158
30
...
555
01/10/2012
2240
2109
...
48
-5
...
65437
2
...
6268
90
...
05
4
...
84597
13
...
238
7
...
75365
03/12/2012
2180
2383
...
43
9
...
05303
0
...
21867
31
...
56
∑XY=568
...
31
σm2=22
...
68
26
...
08
Return
on
Stock
X2
(R-AR)2
Market
286
...
03
76
...
801
X*Y
(R-AR)2
Stock
σ2=117
...
56, Market(Sensex) is 23
...
82, Systematic Risk is 73
...
91 are calculated below based on the above information
...
05 – 1625
...
81
1625
...
55 – 15534
...
67
15534
...
56 = 3
...
72) – (23
...
56) = 1
...
31) – (23
...
82)2 * 22
...
38
Unsystematic risk: total variance of security return-systematic risk
2012 = 117
...
38 = 43
...
2 Graph Showing 2012 of State Bank of India Returns:
2012 SBI
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
SENSEX(x)
SBI (y)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12
INTERPRETATION: From the above graph it can be interpreted that the monthly
returns of a State Bank of India’s company selected against the monthly return of sensex
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 53
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
2
...
6
Closing
Price
of
Stock
329
...
5
01/03/2012
Date
Opening
Price of
Stock
Return
on
Market
Return
on
Stock
X2
X*Y
(R-AR)2
Market
(R-AR)2
Stock
10
...
7087
402
...
03
76
...
715
345
...
33
4
...
3995
11
...
99489
1
...
3
-1
...
46377
-11
...
0707
13
...
09613
02/04/2012
368
...
35
-0
...
8221
3
...
4067
6
...
468
02/05/2012
350
...
1
-6
...
7799
38
...
011
73
...
412
01/06/2012
327
...
15
7
...
63636
27
...
898
30
...
33711
02/07/2012
340
...
25
-1
...
89655
-8
...
3484
9
...
55179
01/08/2012
365
329
...
79
-9
...
6122
0
...
28304
249
...
2
7
...
4683
114
...
158
30
...
7609
01/10/2012
382
411
...
48
7
...
461
2
...
6268
2
...
7
442
...
60
7
...
1645
21
...
21057
1
...
2
0
...
08072
1
...
1881
2
...
29736
∑Ri=73
...
087
∑X2=309
...
1
∑Ri=23
...
23
Analysis: From the above table, it can be inferred that Yes Bank’s returns is 73
...
08 and Beta is 1
...
71, Un systematic Risk
is 68
...
Calculations as under:
Return: = Ri = P1-Po
Po
Here: P1 = Closing Price, P0 = Opening Price
Stock
02-01-2012 = 329
...
6*100 = 37
...
6
Sensex
17193
...
67*100 = 10
...
67
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 54
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Average return 2012 = 73
...
15
12
Beta (β): = n∑xy-∑x∑y
n∑x2-(∑x)2
2012 = (12) (599
...
08) (73
...
72
(12) (309
...
08)2
Systematic risk: βi2*variance of market
2012 = (1
...
08 = 65
...
20 – 65
...
51
2
...
It is
evident from the graph that the overall trend of business has exbhited by sensex closely
resembles the returns exbhited by company expecting minor fluctuations but the prices
are low volatility
...
7 Table shows the ABB’ s returns, beta (β) and unsystematic risk:
02/01/2012
580
Closing
Price
of
Stock
816
...
25
3
...
3387
-1
...
126
1
...
2171
01/03/2012
815
841
...
75
3
...
7085
3
...
5094
1
...
4
-0
...
3059
2
...
4067
6
...
079
02/05/2012
818
734
...
63
-10
...
8816
44
...
2264
148
...
6
800
...
47
8
...
1631
55
...
8395
45
...
6
-1
...
1721
1
...
3484
9
...
7188
01/08/2012
797
...
35
0
...
346
-8
...
6248
1
...
08
03/09/2012
724
797
...
42
10
...
6531
55
...
2902
67
...
35
-1
...
4843
11
...
2101
11
...
92
01/11/2012
735
...
85
4
...
0795
-14
...
238
7
...
25
03/12/2012
718
...
4
0
...
5802
-1
...
1881
2
...
481
∑Ri=23
...
3452
∑XY=628
...
31
σm2=22
...
68
40
...
876
114
...
657
1503
...
6
Analysis: From the above table, it can be inferred that ABB’s returns is 23
...
08 and Beta is 2
...
12, Un systematic Risk
is 68
...
Calculations as under:
Return: = Ri = P1-Po
Po
Here: P1 = Closing Price, P0 = Opening Price
Stock
02-01-2012 = 816
...
00*100 = 40
...
00
Sensex
17193
...
67*100 = 10
...
67
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 56
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Average return 2012 = 23
...
94
12
Beta (β): = n∑xy-∑x∑y
n∑x2-(∑x)2
2012 = (12) (628
...
08) (23
...
20
(12) (309
...
08)2
Systematic risk: βi2*variance of market
2012 = (2
...
08 = 107
...
60 – 107
...
48
2
...
It is evident
from the graph that the overall trend of business has exbhited by sensex closely resembles
the returns exbhited by company expecting minor fluctuations but the prices are low
volatility
...
8 Table shows the L&T’ s returns, beta (β) and unsystematic risk:
02/01/2012
1006
...
6
01/02/2012
1303
1308
...
33
0
...
30556
11
...
99489
17
...
85
-1
...
52692
-0
...
0707
13
...
193
02/04/2012
1308
...
3
-0
...
3035
4
...
4067
6
...
82
02/05/2012
1223
...
3
-6
...
1495
27
...
011
73
...
697
01/06/2012
1168
1397
...
47
19
...
81
55
...
8395
227
...
65
-1
...
1679
2
...
3484
9
...
143
01/08/2012
1367
...
4
0
...
9301
-1
...
6248
1
...
004
03/09/2012
1354
1596
...
42
17
...
151
55
...
2902
178
...
75
-1
...
05716
-3
...
2101
11
...
2191
01/11/2012
1630
1667
...
60
2
...
4891
21
...
21057
5
...
85
0
...
8413
-1
...
1881
2
...
43
∑Ri=23
...
6116
∑XY=641
...
31
σm2=22
...
68
30
...
362
114
...
657
657
...
64
Analysis: From the above table, it can be inferred that L&T’s returns is 54
...
08 and Beta is 2
...
36, Un systematic Risk
is 31
...
Calculations as under:
Return: = Ri = P1-Po
Po
Here: P1 = Closing Price, P0 = Opening Price
Stock
02-01-2012 = 1310
...
70*100 = 30
...
70
Sensex
17193
...
67*100 = 10
...
67
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 58
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Average return 2012 = 54
...
55
12
Beta (β): = n∑xy-∑x∑y
n∑x2-(∑x)2
2012 = (12) (641
...
08) (54
...
02
(12) (309
...
08)2
Systematic risk: βi2*variance of market
2012 = (2
...
08 = 90
...
64 – 90
...
28
2
...
It is evident
from the graph that the overall trend of business has exbhited by sensex closely resembles
the returns exbhited by company expecting major fluctuations but the prices are low
volatility
...
9 Table shows the Reliance Infrastucture’s returns, beta (β) and unsystematic
risk:
02/01/2012
341
Closing
Price
of
Stock
535
...
35
3
...
679702
35
...
126
1
...
903
01/03/2012
596
...
9
-1
...
6753225
2
...
0707
13
...
981
02/04/2012
590
527
...
63
-10
...
78772
0
...
55803
245
...
25
-6
...
238095
94
...
011
73
...
32
01/06/2012
451
...
35
7
...
7203634
177
...
898
30
...
27
02/07/2012
562
...
45
-1
...
275556
14
...
3484
9
...
53
01/08/2012
494
...
65
0
...
1524396
-7
...
6248
1
...
18
03/09/2012
448
...
7
7
...
1114827
149
...
158
30
...
41
01/10/2012
537
...
25
-1
...
681429
18
...
2101
11
...
75
01/11/2012
472
...
35
4
...
68697768
12
...
238
7
...
4966
03/12/2012
488
520
...
43
6
...
90136
0
...
21867
2
...
08
∑Ri=60
...
31
σm2=22
...
68
57
...
338
114
...
657
2716
...
01
(R-AR)2
Stock
σ2=400
...
37, Market(Sensex) is 23
...
78, Systematic Risk is 315
...
11 are calculated below based on the above information
...
9 – 341
...
15
341
...
55 – 15534
...
67
15534
...
37 = 5
...
08) (60
...
78
(12) (309
...
08)2
Systematic risk: βi2*variance of market
2012 = (3
...
08 = 315
...
85 – 315
...
11
2
...
It is evident from the graph that the overall trend of business has exbhited by
sensex closely resembles the returns exbhited by company expecting minor fluctuations
but the prices are low volatility
...
10 Table shows the TCS’ s returns, beta (β) and unsystematic risk:
Date
Opening
Price of
Stock
Return
on
Market
1155
...
5
02/01/2012
Return
on
Stock
10
...
1339
01/02/2012
1130
1221
...
33
01/03/2012
1221
...
85
02/04/2012
1172
...
787
114
...
657
8
...
05752
26
...
126
1
...
677
-1
...
3569
7
...
0707
13
...
59
1244
...
63
6
...
9377
0
...
55803
28
...
8
-6
...
0962
0
...
011
73
...
8025
01/06/2012
1235
1277
...
47
3
...
7591
55
...
8395
6
...
65
-1
...
9225
3
...
3484
9
...
854
01/08/2012
1240
1347
...
79
8
...
84001
0
...
28304
61
...
3
1294
7
...
9561
-29
...
158
30
...
616
01/10/2012
1298
1313
...
48
1
...
7638
2
...
6268
0
...
85
4
...
1635
-0
...
238
7
...
9276
03/12/2012
1315
1258
...
43
-4
...
8616
0
...
21867
25
...
59544
∑XY=10
...
31
σm2=22
...
08
X*Y
(R-AR)2
Stock
σ2=20
...
59,
Market(Sensex) is 23
...
02, Systematic Risk is 0
...
80 are calculated below based on the above information
...
5 – 1155
...
13
1155
...
55 – 15534
...
67
15534
...
59 = 0
...
65) – (23
...
59) = -0
...
31) – (23
...
02)2 * 22
...
01
Unsystematic risk: total variance of security return-systematic risk
2012 = 20
...
01 = 20
...
10 Graph Showing 2012 of TCS Returns:
2012 TCS
15
10
5
SENSEX(x)
0
TCS(y)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-5
-10
INTERPRETATION: From the above graph it can be interpreted that the monthly
returns of a TCS’s company selected against the monthly return of sensex
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 63
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
2
...
7
01/02/2012
655
...
68
13
...
342
114
...
657
78
...
2
3
...
4782
-28
...
126
1
...
46
599
...
65
-1
...
1319
-35
...
0707
13
...
67
02/04/2012
730
700
...
63
-4
...
60321
0
...
55803
69
...
65
-6
...
3295
28
...
011
73
...
914
01/06/2012
666
...
95
7
...
21905
46
...
898
30
...
8074
02/07/2012
709
...
9
-1
...
33827
-0
...
3484
9
...
441
01/08/2012
717
797
...
79
11
...
92435
0
...
28304
49
...
8
7
...
1721
157
...
158
30
...
75
01/10/2012
972
947
...
48
-2
...
7166
2
...
6268
45
...
4
4
...
8143
-31
...
238
7
...
81
03/12/2012
886
931
...
43
5
...
22208
0
...
21867
0
...
21
∑XY=294
...
31
σm2=22
...
08
σ2=96
...
21,
Market(Sensex) is 23
...
74, Systematic Risk is 12
...
55 are calculated below based on the above information
...
7 – 576
...
14
576
...
55 – 15534
...
67
15534
...
21 = 4
...
91) – (23
...
21) = 0
...
31) – (23
...
74)2 * 22
...
13
Unsystematic risk: total variance of security return-systematic risk
2012 = 96
...
13 = 84
...
11 Graph Showing 2012 of Tech Mahindra Returns:
2012 TEC MAHINDRA
25
20
15
SENSEX(x)
10
5
TECH MAHINDRA
(y)
0
-5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9 10 11 12
-10
INTERPRETATION: From the above graph it can be interpreted that the monthly
returns of a Tech Mahindra’s company selected against the monthly return of sensex
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 65
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
2
...
25
01/02/2012
412
...
75
3
...
65398
15
...
126
1
...
5388
01/03/2012
425
439
-1
...
29412
-5
...
0707
13
...
0623
02/04/2012
439
...
1
-0
...
9109
5
...
4067
6
...
5274
02/05/2012
406
409
...
63
0
...
8007
44
...
2264
0
...
3
7
...
6098
-19
...
898
30
...
46251
02/07/2012
401
...
9
-1
...
427
17
...
3484
9
...
763
01/08/2012
343
...
6
0
...
04718
5
...
6248
1
...
958
03/09/2012
368
381
...
42
3
...
8415
55
...
2902
12
...
8
-1
...
6842
11
...
2101
11
...
937
01/11/2012
351
392
...
60
11
...
0778
21
...
21057
139
...
35
0
...
08883
0
...
1881
2
...
0011
∑Ri=1
...
48
∑X2=309
...
1
Date
Opening
Price of
Stock
Return
on
Market
10
...
57143
∑Ri=23
...
1378
114
...
657
11
...
48
Analysis: From the above table, it can be inferred that Wipro’s returns is 1
...
08 and Beta is 0
...
31, Un systematic Risk is
45
...
Calculations as under:
Return: = Ri = P1-Po
Po
Here: P1 = Closing Price, P0 = Opening Price
Stock
02-01-2012 = 413
...
00*100 = 3
...
00
Sensex
17193
...
67*100 = 10
...
67
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 66
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Average return 2012 = 1
...
12
12
Beta (β): = n∑xy-∑x∑y
n∑x2-(∑x)2
2012 = (12) (144
...
08) (1
...
53
(12) (309
...
08)2
Systematic risk: βi2*variance of market
2012 = (0
...
08 = 6
...
48 – 6
...
17
2
...
It is evident
from the graph that the overall trend of business has exbhited by sensex closely resembles
the returns exbhited by company expecting major fluctuations but the prices are low
volatility
...
13 Table shows the Cipla’ s returns, beta (β) and unsystematic risk:
02/01/2012
320
...
15
01/02/2012
351
01/03/2012
Date
Opening
Price of
Stock
Return
on
Market
Return
on
Stock
X2
X*Y
(R-AR)2
Market
(R-AR)2
Stock
10
...
0242
96
...
03
76
...
929
316
...
33
-9
...
5
11
...
99489
130
...
55
-1
...
2296
7
...
0707
13
...
93
02/04/2012
305
311
...
63
2
...
4322
0
...
55803
0
...
65
-6
...
7532
4
...
011
73
...
9233
01/06/2012
310
...
4
7
...
0316
15
...
898
30
...
1232
02/07/2012
316
338
...
16
7
...
2865
1
...
51341
29
...
15
0
...
04167
3
...
6248
1
...
297
03/09/2012
378
380
...
42
0
...
1084
55
...
2902
0
...
4
363
...
48
-4
...
23025
2
...
6268
34
...
9
414
4
...
1457
60
...
238
7
...
45
03/12/2012
415
...
1
0
...
2289
-0
...
1881
2
...
646
∑Ri=20
...
549
∑X2=309
...
1
∑Ri=23
...
45
Analysis: From the above table, it can be inferred that Cipla’s Ltd returns is 20
...
08 and Beta is 0
...
43, Un systematic Risk is
32
...
Calculations as under:
Return: = Ri = P1-Po
Po
Here: P1 = Closing Price, P0 = Opening Price
Stock
02-01-2012 = 349
...
25*100 = 9
...
25
Sensex
17193
...
67*100 = 10
...
67
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 68
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Average return 2012 = 20
...
68
12
Beta (β): = n∑xy-∑x∑y
n∑x2-(∑x)2
2012 = (12) (157
...
08) (20
...
44
(12) (309
...
08)2
Systematic risk: βi2*variance of market
2012 = (0
...
08 = 4
...
44 – 4
...
00
2
...
It is evident
from the graph that the overall trend of business has exbhited by sensex closely resembles
the returns exbhited by company expecting major fluctuations but the prices are low
volatility
...
14 Table shows the Glenmark’ s returns, beta (β) and unsystematic risk:
Date
Opening
Price of
Stock
Closing
Price of
Stock
Return
on
Market
Return
on
Stock
X*Y
X2
(R-AR)2
Market
(R-AR)2
Stock
02/01/2012
292
...
8
10
...
284
13
...
03
76
...
726
01/02/2012
300
308
...
33
2
...
117
11
...
99489
4
...
65
-1
...
758
1
...
0707
13
...
466
02/04/2012
309
...
15
-0
...
5983
-2
...
4067
6
...
0641
02/05/2012
325
356
...
63
9
...
71
44
...
2264
24
...
1
362
...
47
2
...
69
55
...
8395
7
...
4
384
...
16
5
...
149
1
...
51341
0
...
95
441
...
79
14
...
43
0
...
28304
92
...
9
7
...
404
-40
...
158
30
...
16
01/10/2012
422
426
...
48
1
...
726
2
...
6268
13
...
60
2
...
713
21
...
21057
7
...
6
527
...
43
20
...
058
0
...
21867
257
...
08
∑Ri=58
...
6
∑X2=309
...
1
σ2=46
...
21,
Market(Sensex) is 23
...
59, Systematic Risk is 7
...
56 are calculated below based on the above information
...
8 – 292
...
28
292
...
55 – 15534
...
67
15534
...
21 = 4
...
6) – (23
...
21) = -0
...
31) – (23
...
59)2 * 22
...
80
Unsystematic risk: total variance of security return-systematic risk
2012 = 46
...
80 = 38
...
12 Graph Showing 2012 of Glenmark Returns:
2012 GLENMARK
25
20
15
10
SENSEX(x)
5
GLENMARK (y)
0
-5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9 10 11 12
-10
INTERPRETATION: From the above graph it can be interpreted that the monthly
returns of a Glenmark’s company selected against the monthly return of sensex
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 71
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
2
...
45
453
...
68
10
...
8
467
...
33
01/03/2012
475
474
...
649
114
...
657
82
...
375
-14
...
126
1
...
585
-1
...
60505
-16
...
0707
13
...
348
443
...
63
7
...
6267
0
...
55803
29
...
25
429
...
63
1
...
821
44
...
2264
0
...
9
460
...
47
-5
...
882
55
...
8395
49
...
6
449
...
16
0
...
7045
1
...
51341
1
...
4
490
...
79
10
...
63619
0
...
28304
82
...
15
7
...
5856
-34
...
158
30
...
245
01/10/2012
563
579
...
48
-0
...
67575
2
...
6268
5
...
45
4
...
1429
-19
...
238
7
...
755
03/12/2012
579
598
...
43
-0
...
0646
0
...
21867
3
...
04
∑Ri=-13
...
3
σm2=22
...
08
X*Y
(R-AR)2
Stock
σ2=35
...
04,
Market(Sensex) is 23
...
21, Systematic Risk is 0
...
89 are calculated below based on the above information
...
15 – 517
...
92
517
...
55 – 15534
...
67
15534
...
03 = 1
...
71) – (23
...
03) = -0
...
31) – (23
...
21)2 * 22
...
98
Unsystematic risk: total variance of security return-systematic risk
2012 = 35
...
98 = 34
...
15 Graph Showing 2012 of Ranbaxy Returns:
2012 RANBAXY
15
10
5
SENSEX(x)
0
RANBAXY(y)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9 10 11 12
-5
-10
INTERPRETATION: From the above graph it can be interpreted that the monthly
returns of a Ranbaxy’s company selected against the monthly return of sensex
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 73
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
2012
Ri
βi
Var
...
7329
0
...
7593
14
...
7527
Maruti Suzuki
50
...
9372
118
...
8481
35
...
4315
0
...
0458
5
...
451
Axis Bank
58
...
9953
116
...
8966
28
...
5692
1
...
2969
73
...
9116
Yes Bank
73
...
7252
134
...
7141
68
...
3451
2
...
6084
107
...
482
L&T
54
...
0231
121
...
3629
31
...
3776
3
...
8519
315
...
11
TCS
9
...
0294
20
...
0191
20
...
2136
0
...
6824
12
...
5465
Wipro
1
...
5347
51
...
3132
45
...
20
...
4482
36
...
4367
32
...
2167
-0
...
3619
7
...
5527
Ranbaxy
22
...
2117
35
...
9898
34
...
β = Expected change in the rate of return on stock i associated with a 1% change
in the market return
...
Above all data are calculated on the basis of prices of each security from
1st January 2012 to 31st December 2012
...
Cov
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 74
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Step-1 Ranking the securities:
Company
Ri
βi
Unsys
...
7329
0
...
7527
28
...
2471
1
...
7234
22
...
4315
0
...
451
118
...
8309
1
...
9076
25
...
5692
1
...
9116
20
...
8447
1
...
5198
38
...
3451
2
...
482
7
...
6115
2
...
2823
23
...
3776
3
...
11
14
...
5954
-0
...
7915
-88
...
2136
0
...
5465
59
...
464
0
...
174
-10
...
20
...
4482
32
...
3771
4
Glenmark
58
...
5947
38
...
122
14
Ranbaxy
22
...
2117
34
...
043
13
As seen above table here Excess returns to beta ratio are already ranked from highest to
lowest
...
Here we have to find out cut-off rate, which helps in selecting securities in our optimum
portfolio
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 75
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Step – 2 Establishing Cutoff Rate:
Company
RRR=
(Ri - Rf)*βi)/
Σ((Ri -
σ 2
(Ri – Rf)/βi
e
(βi2 / σ2)
σ 2
Rf)*βi)/ e
Σ (βi2 /
C
2
σ)
MRF
118
...
3421
0
...
0029
0
...
0987
Tec Mahindra
59
...
3877
0
...
0065
0
...
344
Yes Bank
38
...
683
2
...
0434
0
...
588
Cipla Ltd
...
377
0
...
5972
0
...
0591
24
...
5409
0
...
2058
0
...
0804
25
...
9764
3
...
7833
0
...
2182
25
...
5339
3
...
8625
0
...
349
25
...
3245
2
...
208
0
...
454
24
...
6073
1
...
767
0
...
5297
23
...
1147
2
...
139
0
...
6978
21
...
4204
0
...
665
0
...
7686
20
...
3534
-0
...
599
0
...
7749
20
...
0429
-0
...
508
0
...
7762
20
...
1219
-0
...
718
0
...
7854
18
...
2789
-0
...
714
4E-05
0
...
916
All securities, whose excess return-to-beta ratio is above the cut-off rate, are selected and
all whose ratios are below are rejected
...
So here first 5
companies are those whose excess returns to beta ratio are more than Ci
...
e
...
So the cut-off rate will be (C*) =
25
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 76
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Calculations for Weights using cut – off rate:
Company
Z = (rrr – scl)β
Weights
σe2
MRF
(118
...
7478)0
...
5313
0
...
2971
0
...
3272
0
...
0507
0
...
0749
0
...
016
0
...
2972
1
87
...
6352-25
...
7414
84
...
746-25
...
725
68
...
(29
...
748)0
...
451
Bajaj Auto
(28
...
748)0
...
451
Axis Bank
(25
...
748)1
...
9
2
...
43
0
...
203
Tec Mahindra
51
...
229
11
...
845
0
...
624
Cipla Ltd
...
167
Bajaj Auto
29
...
831
0
...
0577
0
...
7865
1
...
7236
Erp= 60
...
14 Graph Shows the Investment Criteria in the year 2012:
Percentage of returns
1%
4%
6%
MRF
41%
TEC MAHINDRA
YES BANK
25%
CIPLA LTD
...
Further we invest 41% in MRF, 25% in YES Bank, 23% in Tec Mahindra, 6% in
Bajaj auto,4% in cipla Ltd and 1% in Axis Bank
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 78
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
C
...
Along with the Sharpe’s Single index model it is wise for investors to make a
technical and fundamental analysis of the companies before investing in the
particular company during the period 2010,2011 & 2012
...
Auto, IT and Banking segment though contineous to be major contributors during
the period 2011 and 2012, but in 2010 Bajaj auto’s only the major contributor
during the period
...
In 2010- Bajaj auto, Glenmark and TCS’s having less risk( Beta’s 0
...
49 and
0
...
23,0
...
34,0
...
41 respectivly) and in the year 2012Cipla Ltd, MRF and Wipro having less risk(0
...
5 and 0
...
The most volatility stock is Reliance infra in(3
...
38) and Tech Mahindra in the year 2010(1
...
In the year 2012 TCS, Glenmark and Ranbaxy having a negative beta(β) compare
to any other stocks
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 79
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
D
...
MRF having less risk in 2011 & 2012, but TCS having less risk in 2010 while the
investor can invest in these stocks, he can expect much return with the less risk
...
In 2011 only a Bajaj auto giving much return but its not
a porfolio and In 2010 the portfolio is to Bajaj auto,TCS and Axis bank
...
By the portfolio construction the investor can minimizing the risk and get the high
returns and if the risk is heavy he can manage among them by using these
portfolio construction
...
Sharpe single index model will helps the investor to construct the portfolio which
will give the optimal return for the given level of risk
...
CONCLUSIONS:
Each individual stock will have its own risk and return characters when combined
in a portfolio overall return from the portfolio will be weighted average returns were as
risk from the portfolio will not weighted average risk because when we consider a pair
off securities one security in a pair may act against another security and this reduce the
risk content
...
However, even now despite the fact
that Markowits Model is vert employed
...
In other words, a portfolio may be give better returns for the same return
...
F
...
Sharpe’s Single Index
portfolio optimization is a considerable improvement over Markowits Model, is these
may give the weighted average return but of selected stocks at desired combination
levels
...
These project as try to apply Sharpe Index Model of portfolio
construction and optimization for randomly picked companies 5 sectors 3 companies
each
...
Annexure
Sharekhan Ltd
...
10
28
...
22
Personal Expenses
2
...
04
1
...
00
0
...
12
Administrative Expenses
1
...
24
0
...
65
3
...
64
Operating Profit
35
...
49
18
...
00
30
...
6
Adjust PBDIT
31
...
81
19
...
50
2
...
54
Adjusted PAT
28
...
31
17
...
5
27
...
47
Earning Before Appreciation
0
...
17
0
...
17
0
...
06
Income
Operating Income
Expenses
Sharekhan Ltd
...
40
31
...
62
Reserves and Surplus
29
...
49
20
...
15
1
...
37
Total
63
...
02
53
...
12
5
...
47
Less: Accumulated Depreciation
4
...
04
3
...
62
1
...
71
Investments
50
...
01
40
...
05
18
...
91
Less: Current Liabilities & Provisions
7
...
03
4
...
12
59
...
89
Book value of unquoted investment
40
...
02
40
...
16
0
...
16
Contingent liabilities
3
...
5
3
...
2
316
...
22
Net Current Assets
Miscellaneous Expenses not written
Total
Note:
Number of equity shares outstanding lakhs
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 83
Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
G
...
Prasanna Chandra, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management,5th edition
...
yahoofinance
...
economics
...
sharekhan
...
bse
...
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES, SVIT
Page 84
Title: MBA Project - Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method
Description: This is the project for reference who studying Post graduation like MBA, M.com Students and Professors. This projects helps to Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method.
Description: This is the project for reference who studying Post graduation like MBA, M.com Students and Professors. This projects helps to Optimal Portfolio Construction Using Sharpe Single Index Method.